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Upgraded Economic Outlook, But is Stellar Housing Sustainable?

Wednesday, December 16, 2020

A recent spate of positive news has allowed Fannie Mae to upgrade several pieces of its economic forecast this month. The approval of at least one COVID-19 vaccine, new hope for additional stimulus approval, and stronger than expected incoming data has pushed the company's economists to upgrade their outlook for real gross domestic product (GDP) to negative 2.2 percent for the full year 2020, up from a negative 2.5 percent in their November version. The change for 2021 is more substantial, from 3.3 percent to 4.5 percent. Growth in 2022 has been raised two-tenths of a point to 3.2 percent. The economists say, "We continue to believe that the conditions for a continued, strong recovery are present once the limiting factors of COVID-19 on consumer behavior are lifted."

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